The economist predicts the Eritrean economy will grow next year mainly due to mineral resources. And in Eritrea everything is controlled by the Government including trade thus we can expect the mad man in Eritrea will have more money to spend on covert action to destabilized Ethiopia as well as to arm himself with huge mass destruction arms. On the other hand Egypt is now trying everything in its disposal to thwart Ethiopia’s use of its natural rivers. Recently the Ethiopian Government has said it has evidence that Egypt is supporting anti government forces.
The mad man in Eritrea has been shuttling from Iran to Qatar for help so far but things are looking up for him to cut his trip. Egypt is next door and the Gold rush that is predicted to bring him millions will certainly help him to think big and distract Ethiopia from its Growth and Transformation plan.
We think Ethiopia has benefited a lot over the years with its policy of no war no peace against the Eritrean government but looking forward, with Isaias Afeworki becoming a very rich person and with Egypt dead serious to do everything in its disposal to stop Ethiopia from using its natural rivers and with Sudan certain to break-up come this January so Ethiopia is in need of a new policy towards its belligerent neighbor.
We can easily imagine Egypt using Eritrea as a last resort to derail Ethiopia’s development if its current covert action fails. We can also imagine Isaias Afeworki who is known to be careless about the Eritrean people will do what ever it takes to topple the Ethiopian government. That is what we project. What about you? Have your say! Should the Ethiopian government change policy or continue as is?