Why Egypt and Sudan Should Pursue a Viable Strategy over Nile Waters

The online wikipedia defines riparian water rights as “ a system of allocating water among those who possess land about its source”. The riparian principle then guarantees that  all landowners whose property is adjoining to a body of water have the right to make reasonable use of it”.  Modern laws governing water use rights by neighboring countries and provinces or states within countries were drawn from this principle which was basically written to resolve conflicts among local landowners.  One can then imagine how difficult it could be to allocate water resources among the nine Nile riparian countries (Ethiopia, Sudan, Egypt, Kenya, Uganda, D.R. Congo, Burundi, Rwanda and Tanzania) that are separated by complex geography and attempting to pursue different national development strategies. 

Nonetheless, what is key here is the issue of accessing water resources for “reasonable use”. In this respect, the share in the use of Nile waters has not been equitable (or reasonable) because of previous treaties that allocated 90% of the waters to Sudan and Egypt.  The treaties also enabled Egyptians to dictate how the other riparian countries should utilise the Nile waters.  These two issues (inequity and Egyptian veto power) have often been the cause of resentment among the citizens of downstream riparian countries.  In Ethiopia in particular, this resentment has been reinforced by Ethiopians who wrote blaming Egypt for supporting secessionist movements including the separation of Eritrea.

By not agreeing to the Nile Basin Co-operative Framework signed by Ethiopia, Rwanda, Tanzania and Uganda last week (other countries to follow), Egypt and Sudan appear to have underestimated the determination of other riparian countries to utilize the waters of the Nile for development purposes.  In fact, Egyptian officials have reacted negatively and, according to many media sources, they have threatened to take legal and diplomatic actions that make the new agreement irrelevant. Time will tell, however, if their efforts bear fruit. Previously, Egyptians got financial and diplomatic rewards in an exchange for making peace with Israel. Today the situation is different. Ethiopian is the focus of donor countries – their experiment for a big-push approach to poverty alleviation. Prime Minister Meles Zenawi is a regular participant of G8 and G20 special meetings on Africa.  More importantly, there are now more pressing security issues in East Africa, so that the West needs the cooperation of Ethiopia, Kenya and other countries in the region to protect its security and economic interests.

Egyptians have previously threatened to take military action if they did not get what they wanted. They may not necessarily venture to take on battle-hardened Ethiopian army, but they certainly have built a strong air force. Ethiopia has MiGs that fly low and skilled pilots.  The consequences of war are obvious.

A viable strategy over the Nile waters then means that Egypt and Sudan secure their long-term interests through engagements with other riparian countries. The multi-donor supported Nile Basin Initiative has done a lot to create shared visions of development among the Nile riparian countries.  The Egyptians and Sudanese have an opportunity to play a leading role in seeking innovation approaches that promote peaceful and cooperative development. They and officials of other riparian states have a lot to learn from the experience of Europeans who have benefitted from regional economic cooperation. If Ethiopians wear fabrics made in Egypt, or Egyptians eat what Ethiopian farmers produce, or Ethiopians motor their automobiles with Sudanese oil, who would even think of who uses the Nile waters and by how much? What would be the incentive? What will also be best is planting trees and building terraces in the highland areas of Ethiopia in order to conserve water and reduce water saltation in the croplands of Sudan and Egypt.  

The world has rapidly changed since 1929 (when the first Nile treaty was signed under colonial tutelage) including a popular awareness that water, air and land are global public goods and that every individual citizen has a right of access to these goods and a responsibility to protect and preserve them. To use the words of one Sudanese professor (who recently wrote on this issue), sanity and selflessness should not influence the thinking of citizens of all Nile riparian countries.   

 

Getachew Mequanent

Ottawa, Canada

May 2010