What Next? 

Should EPRDF replace Prime Minister Meles?

 

Kelemu Smeneh      February 17,2009

 

This piece is triggered by Washera’s article in regards to PM Meles’ recent press conference. It may not be the time to discuss this issue now.  But it has been raised and I believe a comment is in order.

 

For the last few months I have been thinking about the next election in Ethiopia.

 

Election is a process where the people of a nation get another chance to elect a party that they believe will enhance their social, economic, and political interests. The incumbent is judged mainly on its past performances and the challenger is evaluated based on its pragmatic approaches and sound political programs it promotes.

 

My country Ethiopia is a new actor in this field of democratic elections. It has many hurdles to cross before its people are able to make an informed decision in exercising their rights to the fullest. This exercise needs time to mature.  The electorates and government functionaries will need time in understanding their responsibilities and their rights.  In the last election I have witnessed an incident where an older person was advised to cast his ballot in a certain way.  This will continue to happen for some time to come. As an evolving and aspiring nation keen on development and good governance, Ethiopia needs to work hard on implementing democracy.  It should do so without taking any direction from any corner of the world that consider itself as a torch bearer of democracy.

 

Pardon my digression and let me go back to my main point regarding the topic at hand. In the beginning, when I was opposed to PM Meles and his party on their handling of the Eritrean referendum (not on the outcome) and the Assab corridor issue, I wanted the party to lose power. That changed when an alternative was not in sight.  For several years now I have been vigorously propagating that Meles Zenawi should resign his post and a new leaders should emerge to lead the party. My intention and logic was based on 1) the belief that power corrupts and Meles should be replaced as soon as possible. Secondly, I presumed that Meles should set an example by resigning peacefully and set a precedent in the history of Ethiopia.  I Still uphold this principle.  Lastly, I thought that although we may not have a person who can ably replace Meles, I was of the opinion that the person should learn on the job; that the positive outweighs the negative..

 

Second thoughts are now in order. My first and last premises are not verifiable.  I am not sure if Meles is susceptible to corruption.  I am not of the opinion, at this particularly critical time of our development to opt for a leader who can learn on the job. Thus, as the reader can predict, I am for Meles to sit tight on his current position and lead the country (assuming that his party wins – which it will do undoubtedly) for another term.

 

His peers in the African leadership have a great respect on Meles.  He has proven to be a continental leader. The western world has already learned that they can’t push this man around; that he considers them his partners as long as they respect his independence and his interest for his country.  His government’s economic performance  for a country that is being devastated by natural circumstances and partly surrounded by vicious enemies, is almost miraculous. The progress towards self-sustenance seems to be in a grasp. The decentralization of power; the empowerment of the federal states has helped to create a stable country.  This contradicts those who espouse the idea that the empowerment of ethnic groups divides the country.

 

It is therefore unwise for me to stick to my old convictions.  I am shifting gear and choosing the pragmatic approach.  I am for Meles for an other term – another LAST term.  At the same time the party should go for a head hunt and expose the potential leader to the public in due time – after the election, I think.